2012-10-27
2012-11-04
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there are three possible out comes right now, cse obama win, close romne win o b romneyin and if you talk to some republicans, both connected to the campaign and one step away from the center of the campaign they are starting to talk about the possibility and you see in the republicans movement into pennsylvania, minnesota, and perhaps michigan the possibility that they are not just trying to hedge their bets or trying to expand the map out of desperation but a real belief this thing could be bigger, an oregon polls that show the shows the race close, certainly closer than the president won four years ago i thinthe momenms with romney and the obama people are not just spinning when they say, look, out of that first debate in denver he doesn't have momentum where he overwhelmed us he brought home the base be does president's in number has not chanced by any means but pretty pistol hid and that means governor romney has upward momentum or has had it, maybe that has stalled we don't really though but the president does not have bad momentum he is not collapsing in any way, i think that the momentum

more about you? >> president obama. >> right. >> rose: must be 4 who is better in foreign policy? >> president obama. >> rose: right. >> what would you add to that? those are the basic kind of -- >> well there is a different variations of cares about people, who understands the middle class. i thought all along, governor romney on those questions, those character and trade questions, governor romney needed to do three things. on cares about you, understands the middle class be closer than he could have been, he couldn't lose those by large double digit margins and narrowed those. couldn't win them, had no narrow them. had plans for the economy needed a significant lead. the president has been ahead at times, kind of remarkable and three is, is favorable, unfavorable, governor romney went into the general election season based on most polls as the worst nominee of either party ever in terms of do you like this person or not? do you think of them favorably, unfavorably, he has really improved and in fact in some polling he went past the president on that measure. and that is to go

in a big way at those polling stations. those measures, take advantage of those. president obama right now speaking in mentor, ohio. let's listen in. >> -- how proud i am of erin and her sisters and their whole family. give them a big round of applause. [ applause ] there they are right there! erin was pretty excited about meeting me. she saw justin bieber the other day. so i'm like the second most exciting person she's met. the in the last few days. no. my understanding also is that this man right here just w-- ths band just won the state championship. best band in the house in ohio! in the house! congratulations! and the football team is in its first play-off game tonight. so the cardinals have a lot going on right now. despite all that, the fact you still came out i'm grateful for. so thank you. for the past several days, all of us have been focused on one of the worst hurricanes in our lifetimes. and each day i've been getting on calls with mayors and governors, county officials just trying to make sure that people are getting able to help. i tell them the entire country is behind them

from harrisburg right now. the polls show that romney is narrowing the gap with obama in that state. can he realistically hope to take the state this late in the game? >> reporter: no doubt about it. 90 minutes from me at the airport you'll have paul ryan, the republican running mate holding a rally. yeah, tomorrow mitt romney is going to be in suburban philadelphia. that's the swing part of the state, the part of the state that really determines who wins pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes. the obama campaign is not taking this sitting down. jill biden is coming to pennsylvania to campaign today. and one of the big guns on the obama side, the former president clinton will be campaigning here in pennsylvania on monday. fred, i got here last night. i turned on the tv watching the local news. a lot of campaign ads. you know what? in the final nine days of this campaign in pennsylvania, $10 million worth of ads. most of them from the romney campaign and its allies. they're outspending the obama campaign 2 to 1. fred, nobody, no republican has won pennsylvania since 1988 in a presidential

industries so the trend does actually matter, and the trend favors president obama right now. >> so john, you close it up for me. ohio. you guys are there. it is so important. i mean, people in ohio must feel like the belle of the ball. everybody wants their vote. they have spent so much advertising money. >> they know it. >> if romney loses ohio, john, can he win the election? >> the path is very, very, very difficult without ohio, and that's why the obama camp has made it a fire wall, which is the reversal of political trends in the past. usually ohio is the republican firewall in the election. a couple things, the fact that ohio use unemployment rate is lower than the nation's, very rare, hasn't happened in decades. obama campaign has invested heavily in early voting, president obama had a very significant lead among those voters, so the romney camp is going to be all about election day. that's their -- that's their long ball but it could not be closer. every vote matters here in ohio. both camps doing everything they can to get out their vote on tuesday. >> every vote matters everywh e e

for president obama. that's right after this. >>> all right. now is the time for you to grow that mustache. for the rest of the month broom, trim and wax your mustache and wear it proudly. ladies, too. you can grow it or at least wear a paper one to help support your man. donations will go to prostate andtistic already cancer awareness, two of the biggest killers of men. also one of the most treatable cancers tamen can get. that guy looked kind of goofy, though. >> yeah. you watch those movies in the 70ed and it is like the big burt reynolds mustache. >> good to do it for the cause. >> maybe paper ones for the ladies. they don't have to grow it all the way. >> they could if they wanted to. >> reporter: all right. breezy conditions. that is a story. it is going to be chilly. in the mid 40s and feeling like the 30s. breezy through the weekend and chilly. set those clocks back an hour. otherwise get ready to vote on tuesday. pretty decent but pretty chilly weather. we'll be back after this. hahahaha! hooohooo, hahaha! this is awesome! folks who save hundreds of dollars switching to geico sure

" is going to endorse barack obama. you know "the new york times" is going to endorse barack obama. >> right. clearly the newspapers matter in local elections and can matter in low turnout primaries. the "des moines register" and caucuses is gold. the argument is it's not just saying, hey, votes for this guy, a newspaper like the "times" makes arguments in favor of a candidacy, which can get picked up by others and commentators. does that just disappear into the echo chamber? >> i think it largely does. i agree with lauren. i would point out that many of these editorials are substantive in their pointing -- they're pointing out important stuff which goes to our last conversation. i'm not sure about the "des moines ridgester's" endorsement. i don't know how many people are really left who are in that persuadable category -- >> about 12. >> right. so 12 people -- >> in ohio -- >> maybe that will make a difference. >> i think you have to make tv ads out of joan doermof endorsem to have impact. >> they don't have the impact they used to. >> i think tv sad a good idea except that a lot of people

. >> stephanie: right. new surveys in which obama held a solid lead in ohio, eight point lead in wisconsin, but romney aids insisted things are on the right track. >> of course she didn't. of course we are. of course we are on the right wrack. >> stephanie: we feel we are in a very good place and this race is exactly where we wanted to be. and their political director said right now their firewalls are burning. >> firewalls don't burn they prevent burning from getting through. >> i assumed there was a wall of fire. [ mocking laughter ] >> oh, my god. >> stephanie: there has been little movement since his first debate surge. several pollsters are suggesting that mitt romney is claiming the polls are wrong across the board. i imagine mitt romney -- is he still collecting unneeded canned goods at this point? that the red cross -- not specifically we don't need that please don't send that. >> yeah. ♪ there are all kinds of goods, canned goods, vacuum packed on your grocery's shelve ♪ ♪ in the value of the giant douche bag ♪ [ laughter ] >> stephanie: back with sexy l

, president obama. right now in ohio. and he is in springfield, ohio, i think. and as i say he's all of our president, but he's your boss as a member of the cabinet. let's hear what he has to say. >> probable journey for more than two centuries and it's also guided us and carried us through the trials and tribulations of the last four years. in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today, our businesses have created 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned companies hired more workers in october than any time in the last eight months. the american auto industry is back on top. home values, housing starts are on the rise. we're less dependent on foreign oil than any time in the last 20 years. because of the service and sacrifice of our brave men and women in uniform the war in iraq is over, the war in afghanistan is ending, al qaeda has been decimated, osama bin laden is dead. [ applause ] >> we're on the move, ohio. we've made real progress these last four years. the reason all of you are here today, the reason i'm here toda

competitive under five points so while it does narrowly favor president obama right now, keep in mind, these are all very competitive states, three, four points. >> woodruff: and, margaret, to that point and the point you were making a minute ago, what is it that the obama folks feel they ndto in the final days? >> if today is a road map for the next few days, what they feel they need to do is return to the high ground, so to speak. today you did not here a lot of rom indonesia, you heard a lot of "look at the storm, this is what we can do -- romnesia" we need to hold hands and buckle down. they want that to be the message and for president obama to be able to close the final days of this race with him saying i'm your president and i will continue to be a president and bring everyone together. he would love to return to th hope and change message. he hasn't been able to do so in recent weeks because they were playing from a weakened position. this allows them make that transition and they'll take it. >> woodruff: well, we hear you both. you guys will be watching from now until electi

consumption and noted not only president obama's position on climate change, but also on s woman's right to choose and marriage equality as evidence of a vision different from that of mitt romney. the news came as the president returned to the campaign trail, stopping first in green by, wisconn. he revived his own slogan of 2008 to question mitt romney's ideas. >> governor romney has been using a his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same poalcies that failed ourha country so badly, the very same policies we've been cleaning up after for the past four years. and he is offering them up change. ( laughter ) he's... he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. ( cheers and applause ) and what the governor's offering sure ain't change. >> woodruff: polls currently give the president a slight edge in wisconsin. but nationally, they are mostly dead even. romney spent his day in virginrga tied state, telling a crowd in roanoke, that the president is clueless when it comes to business.a >> and so we came up with an idea la

for barack obama he has got to get this right, because otherwise people will see this as political disaster and another point, you know, he has got to make sure that this isn't politicized. >> jennifer: how do you do that when you are one week before an election? >> sure. i think he has done a good job of reaching out to both republican and democratic governors and mayors. george bush -- his administration provided some help to republican governors that democratic governors didn't get. new orleans wasn't included in the federal state of emergency. >> jennifer: and james do you think, first of all that the decision to halt the campaigns, for example, that is a no-brainer, right? >> yeah absolutely. and i think particularly in the case of obama talking to folks around him, it was clear to me this was not first and foremost a political decision on his part. he just said simply i'm not running out there and raising money and going to pep rallies at the same time that i'm supposed to be overseeing what could compare to katrina. >> jennifer: well, now romney --

's unfair, but that's what sticks in people's minds. >> in your mind, has president obama made the right move, wrong move? what do you think? >> i think he has made the appropriate move here. he hasn't been too over. that's the key here. you can't be overtly political in how you respond to these kinds of disasters. he obviously will accrue some benefits because he's acting aas commanders in chief are supposed to act and help people on a broad basis. as the remarks of governor christie of new jersey proved, this is a -- he gets bipartisan support out of this disaster. that has to help the bottom line come election day. >> of course, he hasn't been -- president obama wanted to fit in one last campaign paerps in florida, then hurriedly flew back because he realized he couldn't make it back to washington because the storm was coming. so he hasn't acted perfectly along this path, right? >> well, that's true. he has a number of surrogates and i understand bill clinton will be picking up a number of campaign appearances on the campaign trail. so that is going to help matters. president obama ca

signed on. that's right. if mitt romney wins the popular vote and barack obama wins the electoral college vote then i think the electoral college will blow up. it will explode. republicans won't stand for that that. >> eliot: jack welch will say its conspiracy. there are other flaws in the voting system. there rampant with the intellectual problems that we have to deal with. >> the point of origin is the constitution which does not confirm the affirmative right to vote. early on the framers passed it over to the states. everything became localized which is why we have 13,000 different voting districts with its own ballot design. ballot designed by count supervisors, while i respect them they're not designers. that's why you get the butterfly ballot. >> eliot: you're being kind to them. you're right by and large they're hard working good folks. sometimes the design errors are simply poor judgment or a mistake. but there are efforts by many people to prevent people to vote. >> absolutely. one of the things that has been so localized ie, chaotic there is too much latitude for cha canary. no

' right he has a glossy new you brochure. i looked at that brochure and i played this role of obama during debate prep and it is more of the same. you can argue that we need to do more of the same but it hasn't worked and it hasn't worked by president obama's own when he surements. he said unemployment would be 50% lower today than it is if we just passed the stimulus package. he said economic growth would be two thirds higher than it actually is. it hants worked. the one thing he does have in the new proposal is to raise taxes on about a million small businesses including a lot here in ohio. that will result according to a study by the national federation of independent businesses which a 700,000 job loss which we can't afford. governor romney instead has pro posed progrowth policies including a tax reform proposal that lowers the rate of taxation but makes the tax code far more efficient and simplifies it and that will result in 7 million new jobs over the next ten years. that is the choice people have. in ohio they are choosing mitt thusy and that is where aenthusiasm is. >> the two cam

. they are going to ask themselves do i feel good about the future? do i feel good about barack obama moving forward or is mitt romney right we are not moving forward we are moving in the right direction. >> the president address ago crowd in colorado yesterday and say he carried four years ago where the unemployment rate is worse than the national average making the case for continuing a strong government role. >> today there are thousands of workers building long lasting batteries and solar technology and wind turbines all across the country. jobs that weren't there four years ago. >> mitt romney meantime in virginia where the unemployment rate is lower than the national average. he ridiculed the president for his plan to create a new cabinet position a secretary of business. >> i don't think what we need is another government bureaucrat that supposedly knows something abouton creation. i think it would be helpful to have a president who understands job creation. >>> the new unemployment numbers come out in about 3 and a half hours. they expect 121,000 jobs created last month if that's the

feel good about the future? do i feel like barack obama is right moving forward or is mitt romney right they are not moving forward we are moving in the right direction. >> in colorado that's a state that did pretty well four years ago. the unemployment rate is worse there than it is across the nation. he was making the case last night for a strong government role. >>> today there are thousands of workers building long lasting batteries and solar technology and wind turbines all across the country. jobs that weren't there four years ago. >> one of the new ideas the president is giving is creating a secretary of business that was something that mitt romney ridiculed yesterday as he made an appearance in virginia. >> you see, i don't think that what we need is another government bureaucrat that supposedly knows something about job creation. i think it would be helpful to have a president who actually understands job creation. >> we will find out what those job numbers are in about three hours. if they are right and we are talking in the neighborhood of 21,000 jobs created last month that

we know right now. president obama has declared states of emergency in several mid atlantic and northeastern states including maryland, new jersey, new york and connecticut. fema, the federal emergency management agency established emergency operations centers in those places to coordinate preparations and disaster relief. >>> hurricane sandy knocked out electricity to more than 5,000 customers in new jersey so far. officials warn that number will grow into the hundreds of thousands. >>> sandy is being blamed for 65 deaths in the caribbean, 51 in haiti where residents endured three days of constant rain. >>> just this morning, a 17-man crew was forced to abandon the hms bounty after getting caught in sandy's high seas off the coast of carolina. the coast guard says the members safely boarded two life rafts. >>> this storm is shaping up to be a travel nightmare. nearly 7,500 flights canceled in the northeast while amtrak suspended service in the northeast corridor. the show must go on for comedians jimmy fallon, jimmy kimmel. they're both saying they'll go ahead with tapings

just before the storm. right? that was colin powell. president obama today actually released an ad highlighting the colin powell endorsement. >> will you endorse president obama? >> yes. when he took over, we were in one of the worst recessions we had seen in recent times. close to a depression. and i saw over the next several years stabilization come back in the financial community. housing is starting to pick up. the president saved the auto industry, and the actions he has taken with respect to protecting us from terrorism have been very, very solid. >> the reason colin powell's was the most eagerly anticipated endorsement of this election is because his endorsement of barack obama in 2008 was seen as being a consequential thing in terms of the obama lead over mccain in '08 and how the election was going to turn out. also more importantly, colin powell is probably the single republican in the country who has the most gravitas and credibility with crossover voters, independent voters and with generally speaking nonideological people who admire his leadership and his judgment. eve

everybody is all right and it is a rare moment where a republican praises president obama. now, one republican who did not was the former fema director under george w. bush, michael brown. if you don't remember who michael brown is, you might remember this moment during the bush administration. >> there will be plenty of opportunities to help later on. right now, the immediate concern is to save lives and get food and medicine to people so we can stabilize the situation. i want to thank you all and brownie, you're doing a heck of a job. the fema director is working 24/7. [ applause ] >> cenk: well, that became a big dispute later. michael brown spoke out today and said that president obama was moving too fast during this storm which is fascinating. and he then went on to clarify he said in the context of the election, i simply said he should have waited, the storm was still forming people were debating whether it was going to be as bad as expected or not and i noted that the president should have let the governors and

politics. >> they lean right. >> i think obama is so confident in ohio, one has to ask a question, why are they deploying 600 lawyers in a county to make sure that the people who are voting get moved along fast enough. i think they are worried that it's very risky to predict the outcome. >> why are the republicans are going after four states in swing states claiming the votes are going to obama and should be going to romney. >> because they know they are losing. >> jon: let's get back to the coverage. if president obama loses what is the media theme going to be? >> i think a lot of people, andrew sullivan, if you only voted, daily beast. if you only voted obama once you have to vote for him twice. i think some version of obviously the american people and alan is ready with that script. they bubbled up and he lost. think that is what he'll say. >> jon: if romney loses? >> it's going to be further indication that the republican party is dying, it's been taken over by tea party extremists. that the party is out of touch and demographically ill-suited. >> the problem with that. >> the rob

. >> i want them to be sure to vote for the right person, mitt romney or obama, either or. >> reporter: the board of elections here expected by now, they have about 20,000 people who voted. instead, 35,000 weigh more than they expected. >>> president obama returned to the campaign trail today after touring the devastation from hurricane sandy. the big question now, will sandy affect the election? with more on the candidates' final pushes and early voting, we turn to wisdom martin with this week's campaign u. >> reporter: the topic this week, we're going to discuss with the professor and students, how much did the impact of superstorm sandy have or will it have on the election? professor, what is it going to do to the elect, if anything? >> five days before the election, the final lasting impressions are very, very important. what you have is devastation, president acting in charge solving problems but you have powerful imagery. americans are turned off by the hyperpartisanship. you have president obama and chris christie examining the damage, talking with each other and working togethe

at our blog at ed.msnbc.com. >> one of the big hurd els that president obama has right now is to get white working male os his side. how do you see that playing out from what you've been able to see on the ground in ohio. >> that's exactly why he went to lake county today. it's a place i know well, i was born and raised in that county and it was a tight one in 2008. barack obama pulled it out by less than 1%, but it's a county that's 95% whoit and it's a place where barack obama believes that his economic message will resonate. he was hitting hard in his speech today. he was enn in the 82 out of 88 counties that have businesses that are related to the auto industry, is the controversy that's gone on over that widely discredited ad put out by the romney campaign. and if you talk to people on the ground, one of the things that they'll tell you is that they think there has been a backlash against that ad. that the voters here know exactly what's going on in the auto industry. one out of every eight jobs is tied to the auto industry and they say they're not being fooled by it. i also tal

, that is in part a disadvantage for president obama, but it's too hard to say right now. >> hogan, governor romney is continuing that cam taken to go forward in states not impacted by hurricane sandy. it was really interesting, joe scarborough and his observations this morning he made on "morning joe." take a listen. >> this was mitt romney's best weekend, and it stops. the momentum stops. you don't know how it freezes, but it's a new dynamic into the race and changes everything with with a week to go. >> let's talk about this. not only could this stall romney's momentum, but it also brings up something that mitt romney was forceful about during the primary debates. he sad voe indicated shutting down team na and letting states handle disaster relief. watching what's taking place with sandy, know we have 12 different states that declared states of emergency and also the district, washington, d.c., does this pose a problem for mitt romney if he gets questioned on his belief about fema and tries to go to some places to look presidential post-sandy, is that an issue for him? >> that's a great point, t

like to set the country right side up. they understand president obama has been the leader in turning this country around, so much so that its growth and job creation keeps going up and up. they like to see an optimistic approach to government. that's what president obama has. they're also big believers in education. for a candidate like mitt romney who wants to abolish the department of education, we think we have a greater message for the independents, for women. we certainly are protecting women's health care. those are issues the independents are interested in. as well as the economy. who are they going to choose? someone who sides with sort of the antiquated views of abolishing or eliminated planned parenthood and attacking women's health care or look to someone who believes in embracing all of america. that's an optimistic view. we're optimistic and working hard and we really believe that nments along with those who are champions of president obama's cause will come to recognize that america is greater when we're united together. that's how the vote will turn out on november 6th

't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on it the last time and the time before that scott hit it right between the eyes. >> no, i know scott quite w

supporting barack obama. and that's got to hurt. >> all right. thank you so much. i really appreciate y'all coming on. we'll see you in the next few days. thank you. >>> and developing news right now that we just referenced, janet napolitano is on the ground right now in new york city as major problems persist after hurricane sandy. lines two miles long just to get gas. >>> and we're told within the last hour, there's a four-hour traffic jam in the lincoln tunnel. we'll get a live update for you. >>> plus, congressman todd akin was abandoned by the national gop establishment over his, quote, legitimate rape comments. but now akin is putting hundreds of thousands of dollars into a major ad blitz. the question is where is the money coming from? it is just one of the things we thought you should know, and you can joinous conversation on twitter. you can find us @tamronhall and @newsnation. [ lisa ] my name's lisa, and chantix helped me quit. i honestly loved smoking, and i honestly didn't think i would ever quit. [ male announcer ] along with support, chantix is proven to help people quit

romney at lunchtime, president obama, there right now. our chief correspondent is there as well. jessica, that city is getting plenty of attention today. at least the two men weren't there at the same time. that would have been a bit awkward. >> yeah, although they would have had an unscripted debate. that would have been unusual and probably good for the public. this state getting so much attention because it is one of those must-win battlegrounds, don. and it tells us so much about the -- the map tells us so much about where they're fighting in these final days. where we are right now is not ju just -- it's sort of a two-for for the president. not just fighting ie way, but across the river. the president fighting hard to hold onto wisconsin as a blue state. he is visiting it three times in the closing days of this campaign. if you count debuke, why when they're not taking anything for granted. and paul ryan, that's his home state. so his edition to the romney ticket has made that reach for the pthd. it's still polling to the president's way. it just shows you how cloesz this fight real

on the track that we are on. president obama: i'm barack obama and... i approve this message. >>> right now, more than 1,000 dominion crews are on their way to new jersey. they are going help restore power to the hundreds of thousands of people still in the dark after sandy. the workers know they have a tough task ahead of them. their mission is rewarding. >> most of the customer base is extremely grateful. we do der i've a lot out of that. it's fantastic. hopefully, we'll run into the same thing up there. i'm sure we will. we are there to help. >> it isn't clear how long the crews will be gone. they will be working gruelling hours while they are away. they will work shifts of at least 12 hours. >> we are getting a look at the damage from sandy. take a look at these before and after satellite photos in new jersey. the storm is believed to have caused $50 billion in damages. so far, it's claimed 92 live, 11 in virginia. many businesses are without power, it's down from a peak of 8.5 million. getting around new york is just about impossible. many in new york and new jersey trying to drive the

genuinely believe this is a guy who wants to do right by his people. barack obama, you're seeing a human being there. and the camera doesn't lie. obviously, will this weigh an election -- obviously, it leans clearly for obama, but what i love about this is what you see with these guys is the same what you see with the guys in the streets of hoboken that were affected. i believe people are overwhelmingly are tremendously decent including politicians, and you're seeing that. >> is it too cynical to read all this in? let's be clear. analysis is happening within the washington political bubble. but i think if you're watching on television, you're seeing chris christie doing what he has to do for his state and the president doing what a president does, arriving in a disaster zone offering consolation but also his federal help. >> yeah. that's all true. but it does have a political impact. it's not unreasonable to say what are the politics in terms of the impact after this? but one of the most corrosive things about washington in the last 8, 12 years has been the permanent campaign. and we in

is not the right guy for another four years. >> first, i truly believe that both president obama and mitt romney want to do a grand bargain, but i don't think they have the same leadership ability to get it done. i think president obama's biggest problem is he's not led. and when he had the senate, the house and the white house, he spent too much time on the affordable care act. that poisoned washington, because even though a majority of the american people doesn't want the affordable care act, nonetheless the effort was taken to pass it on a straight party line vote. that poisoned the well. i think the worst of all scenarios is the house stays in republican hands which it's going to. the senate stays in democratic hands and president obama stays in the white house. we haven't gotten any progress on that in the last two years. why do you think it's different in the next two years? by the way, it's likely that the reps take the senate in 2014. so i think you have to be recognizing reality. it's not just who the president is, although that's by far the most important. it's also who controls the ho

right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very digital differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody thinks they're going to be close. these are the states everybody is going to be watching on tuesday night. each of these states, as you know, has a top elections official. and e

. >> the unions in ohio is why obama's strong right now. >> show me by hand, how many of you voted for him in 2008? how many of you are definitely voting for him in 2012? what the hell happened? >> the promises weren't met. what we got is not what we thought we were going to get in 2008. >> i'm disappointed because he didn't do what he said he would do. but i'm not sure i like the alternative. >> who is leaning towards barack obama? who is leaning towards mitt romney? is romney in touch with you all? >> no. >> no. why not? tell me why not? >> romney is more focused on big business. >> if they find something and bring it against him, all of a sudden he changes his tune. i didn't say that. that's not what i meant. >> does obama understand you? >> i think barack obama grew up middle class or lower middle class. i think he can relate. i think that mitt romney always grew up wealthy. i think he relates to everything that we stand for. i mean, women's rights, children, raising children. he's a family man. that is how, i think, women -- why women like obama. is he a family man. he's been there with us. a

that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then the obama explanation of why they're going into these states is more credible. >> these states being michigan and pennsylvania. >> which is not oh, my god, the sky is falling, we're losing everywhere, we need to play a lot of defense, but rather, you know, they can't win ohio, so they're looking for another place. so we've got enough money to make sure that nothing goes wrong. the president's not going to win these battleground states by the same margins he won last time. there's some natural tightening. most of these states elected republican governors two years ago. >> two years ago. >> and so the president would be happy winning these states by two or three points. >> michigan, 2 1/2 points. this is one of these states that we republicans stopped expecting to win when ronald reagan retired. you usually put it in the pennsylvania category. do you believe mitt romney's within the margin of error in michigan? >> i tend to think -- i tend to give the benefit of the doubt to good polls. >> that's a good poll. >> that is a fine poll. i'm intereste

obama: there's just no quit in america... and you're seeing that right now. over five million new jobs. exports up forty one percent. home values... rising. our auto industry... back. and our heroes are coming home. we're not there yet, but we've made real progress and the... last thing we should do is turn back now. here's my plan for the next four years: making education and training a national priority; building on our manufacturing boom; boosting american-made energy; reducing the deficits responsibly by cutting where... we can, and asking the wealthy to pay a little more. and ending the war in afghanistan, so we can... do some nation-building here at home. that's the right path. so read my plan, compare it to governor romney's... and decide which is better for you. it's an honor to be your president... and i'm asking for your vote... so together, we can keep moving america forward. i'm barack obama and i approve this message. welcome to the world leader in derivatives. welcome to superderivatives. >>> fema's about to run out of money. there are some people who say to it on a case

to see from either a romney administration or an obama second term? we'll get into that right after this break. [ ding! ] ...and get longer nighttime cough relief. use alka-seltzer plus night cold & flu... [ coughs ] [ buzz! ] [ screams ] ...and you could find yourself... honey? ...on the couch. nyquil. 50% longer cough relief. yes, you do! don't! do! whoa, kitchen counselor here. see cascade complete pacs work like micro-scrubbing brushes to help power away tough foods even in corners and edges. hmm! cascade. love it or your money back. >>> coming up, what to expect after the election. more with our roundtable after this. @ñ >>> back with our roundtable, one of the big pushes in the final nine days is for women. and you've seen this across the landscape here, not only in the presidential race, but in the tight senate races, as well. we have the latest out of indiana with the candidate there, richard mourdock, talking about rape once again, that it could be god's will and that a pregnancy because of rape should be taken to term. this ironically and the timing was bad for mitt romne

. romney is reaching right through the middle and doing that. >> bob: romney peaked and obama has room to move. the myth of romney momentum is just that, a myth. >> dana: president bam become stalled at first debate. he has been treading water since. >> eric: put up the "washington post" poll to show who you would vote for. 11 days left. president obama cannot get above 47%. that has to be disturbing to you. >> bob: it is if you take one poll. but i think he has a 47% base. the other thing is gallup came out and for the first time, obama favoritability job rating is above 50%. >> dana: still romney/obama 51/45 p.c. >> greg: who cares if the economy is dead if you have a cool president? that's what mtv is about. saying this guy is great. he can do a mean a green impersonation. isn't that more important than the fact that you are unemployed and living at home? if you think obama can handle the economy you think joan crawford was great with kids. >> bob: i get that. >> greg: i was going to do a sandusky joke and thought not. >> eric: put up the last graphic. stunning. $2 million campaign.

your vote for romney because you're upset at obama, right? n no. i think there is a case to be made against obama. there is also a case to be made for romney. mitt romney, i have to say, among the republicans in the field, i am a democrat, but among the republicans in the primary field, romney was the only one who i thought was in the end, could be a credible alternative to obama. but as we've gotten closer, i think romney is much better than merely a credible alternative. i think his policies are sound. i think he's got a real idea how to create jobs. the other thing i like about him is that there is not a hint of scandal in this man's life. neither in his personal life, nor his career. this is an honest man full of integrity and it will be nice to have that in the white house. >> gretchen: when i interviewed hi and ann together three years ago issues they said to me then, you will never read about us in the tabloids, ever. they said it am fatticcally. listen to ryan and romney as they seem to be talking about hope and change. imagine that. >> this is a turfing point for america th

see him getting it right there. both romney and president obama spoke with rubio and, of course, expressed their concern and support for his daughter and his family. >> brian: all right. is this terrorism 101? new york university president requiring her students to plot a terrorist attack for a homework assignment. the professor asked her students to write up 15 pages describing how they would attack the city and what the aftermath would be like, for example, how much it would cost us. former naval criminal investigator says it prepares students for a career in intelligence. but some police officers are calling it an insult to those who died in 9-11. remember, khalid sheikh mohammed was on campus learning about america and plotting against america and so was al-awlaki. >> gretchen: ban on halloween, a number of schools and towns are putting a stop to halloween plans. over the past years, a dozen schools are doing away with costume, parties, other celebrations. you might be asking what would the reason be? some say it's because students can't afford to participate. there are some

position it's a rally if romney wins and a slight gain if obama wins. >> exactly right. corporate america leaner, meaner, healthier than ever before. making $105 a share. even if it were to come off a little bit, the multiple is an indictment on the lack of pro-growth policies. you'll get maybe 15 multiple if you get an obama election. romney, look for a 20 multiple. >> okay. john, i gather you're not worried about the effects of hurricane sandy. you're saying between the fourth quarter and first quarter, we will get back whatever we lost and then maybe some. >> yeah, i think so p. >> we're talking 2%, 2.5%. destroying bridges doesn't create jobs. >> i think we'd all agree when i look into the tone of the discussion, we're talking about moderate growth. 1.5% to 2% growth. we're really not talking about back to 3% to 4% growth. and i would say we really need to resolve these uncertainties about affordable care health care, we need to -- dodd-frank, the bush tax cuts. a lot of policy uncertainty whether that needs to be resolved before we move the economy forward.uncertaintywheto be resolve

, but he said pressed to choose, president obama has come down on the right side of his mind. >> i'll take the endorsement. >> bill: yes. we know the big news about hurricane sandy is the biggest news we have had but hitting a week before the campaign there is also a political side to hurricane sandy. looking at bloomberg's endorsement, wouldn't you have to say if there were a political winner it was president obama. >> no question. you have chris christie who has been a top surrogate for romney on the tarmac shaking hands, praising the president for his response efforts -- >> bill: over and over. >> but more than the words was what the storm did to the narrative, which was to stop the campaign in its track, and stop the perception of romney momentum, to shift the focus from romney's rallies, and shift the discussion to what roll the government can play. >> bill: hey, dan, i want to share with margaret the newest obama ad but while dan is getting that ready -- that's the point of my column i reference is that i think hurricane sandy brought the focus on the ke

of the elections most crucial, women voters, are running right behind him. you see, a "usa today" gallop poll found that governor romney pulled within one point of president obama among women who are likely voters in battleground states spop when you look even closer at the supposed coalition of women supporting president obama you find that they're not necessarily coalescing and their gender. in 2008 president obama's largest base of supporters were african-american women. his supporters were also latin thats, young women, same-same-sex loving women, women who have travelled the many roads that lead to the intersection where our identities meet. what matters most is that women show up for ourselves because, as we've seen over the last year, if we don't, there are those who will be happy to show up for us. the importance of showing up even when the door gets slammed in your face wasn't lost on the woman who is with me today. she is a face who was missing from that congressional hearing, sandra fluk, women's health care advocate and graduate from georgetown university. she joins me with karen finney

of convenience. the enemy of my enemy is my friend. right now, barack obama is their biggest enemy. they're tolerating mitt romney. they already assume mitt romney is on the wrong side of every issue including this one. i don't think this flip-flop affects them. they hate romney and obama more. that's all that matters until the day after the election when we'll see them turn on romney in a big way. [ laughter ] >> jennifer: you mean when he loses. right? >> absolutely. >> jennifer: okay. >> they'll turn on him. >> jennifer: either way. >> right now they're pretending to like him but that's not going to last after he's a loser. >> jennifer: so there is the daily kos blog post today that actually talks about what disaster relief would be like in romney's world this, in fact, he were to push it down to the private sector. let's say that romney gets elected. what would a privatized fema look like? >> there's two possibilities. they're both complete disasters. the first would be to actually truly privatize it. you pay for pr

obama and... i approve this message. >>> right now, we are following breaking news on news 4 midday. a 15-year-old is dead after being struck by a car walking to school. it happened around 7:00 this morning near the intersection of germantown road. police say the tenth grader at seneca valley high school was walking to school when the teen was hit by the car. the driver did stay at the scene. police are investigating what caused the accident. >>> right now, president obama is preparing to head to new jersey to see some of the devastation sandy left behind. he just made an unscheduled visit to fema's headquarters to see how they are handling the disaster. this afternoon, he'll tour the areas of new jersey hardest hit with the governor, chris christie. >>> flights are starting to get off the ground this morning after two days of thousands of cancellations caused by sandy. chances are, you'll need plenty of patience if you are trying to leave town. megan mcgrath has been on this taking a look at things at reagan national airport. >> reporter: sandy may be out of here. things are far fr

. in that case ground game is crucial. i think you're right in ohio ground game is going to favor obama. i think the only silver lining is that in 2008 obama won 22 of ohio's 88 counties making it clear that the population battle over the cities is really what's important. so having the political offices all over the state might not actually be the determining factor, but i think -- look, i'll be honest. i have ohio going blue in my electoral map. >> look, it's creditical to oba and the campaign they win this ground game. you see evidence in the polls of republicans on the whole are more motivated to throw out barack obama than democrats on the whole are to re-elect him. that doesn't mean there aren't lots of motivated democrats out there. they yell at me on twitter. you get over 90% from republicans a lot. it's not that high from democrats. you know what makes me think of micha michael dukakis? everything. ohio in particular. something interesting in ohio and to understand you have to think p about the dukakis lae election in 1988. this was a 40-state landslide for george bush sr. in 1988. in t

years of obama. wow. you see folks on the left dismissing the value of this. on the right they'll make a big deal about it. i came upon a fun study from 2008. brown university economists found that when moderate papers endorse they're seen as mort credible. when a partisan paper does it, not so much. when the chicago sun times and "denver post" endorsed kerry and bush, the study found 3% of readers switched voting allegiance. they flipped their allegiances in 2000. i have to say, i think an interesting number that matters is when you compare the endorsement numbers, obama has 34 endorsement from major, significant papers. romney has 27. look at the circulation of those endorsements. obama's total just over 9 million readers. >> 27? >> and mitt romney is at 27 and not 7. his total circulation just under 5 million. so i don't know that this is a scientific reading of those numbers, but you have to imagine 9 million readers reading obama endorsement, 5 million readers reading romney. i have to imagine that ends up as a net plus for obama somewhere down the line. let's just quickly ask "de

. the issue. right now it is encouraging to see the ground game obama has been a lead he has. the acts of desperation mitt romney has had to engage in. lou: did we just transition from analysis time a raw-rob party for democrats? >> pretty much. neil this. i'm busted. lou: well, as robert is basking in the glow of something that is not quite, maybe you can give us a sensas to what you think will happen specifically. >> the same states we have been talking about for quite some time. remember that one out of every eight jobs, the halo effect directly to the other industry. obama basking in glory of the bailout, as he should. that is what is turning the election the way it is. lou: to you by these polls? do you buy that it's this tight? that these swing state polls are really the strong? >> well, the polls seem odd because we saw a big shift in the nationwide polls. after the first debate. but then we have seenome movement in swing states like florida and virginia, although not as much as we have seen. ohio seems not to have budget at all. other movement in states like -- surprisingly clo

. -- said they are in heaven. now with obama it's come right back again. we are all walking on eggshells again. not very delicately on those eggshells. like my introduction. [laughter] i am going to it debate party tonight. the host called it racist pizza debate party because he's having it in his fifth apartment. it's an apartment. maybe it's not being taken quite as seriously but it did work in 2000. more white people voted for barack obama 2008 than voted for any democratic candidate for president in nearly 40 years. tied with clinton and incumbent in 1996 and look at the wonders that produce. it produces disaster as it did nric city and it has with barack obama. you can see in last week's debate, that was the first objective thing obama has. for four years he has been coddled by the media. i mean i guess he faced sort of a tough opponent with hillary and linton but who is she? she is the wife of an impeached ex-president and that is how she made her name. still, she was better than john mccain. and you know in the hillary obama debate, the questions going question's going to obama we

. >> right. it certainly has shifted. maria, very quickly, if you were running the obama campaign where would you go, what would you be doing? a lot of people have said he needs to start belting it out again and getting that sore throat that he had at the end of 2008. >> i think he'll probably end up with that sore throat on tuesday night, but i also think exactly what they're doing -- look, bill clinton wherever they can get him. and going to all of the swing states wherever they can get him. i think more importantly, to actually show real people. in ohio, to have all of the auto workers whose jobs have been saved by the president's rescue of the auto industry, in sharp contrast with what mitt romney wanted to do, which was to let the industry go bankrupt and also in sharp contrast with the absolutely flat-out deceiving ads that mitt romney is running in ohio right now, where he even had to have the ceo of gm and the ceo of chrysler come out to say that they're lies and that he needs to cut it out. i think in ohio, such an important state for mitt romney where the president is leading right

an issue to try to deelectoralize president obama, then we have a flood here. >> jennifer: all right. thank you so much david. clearly the electoral vote looks great. the popular vote, not so much and especially if these blue voters in new jersey and new york aren't able to get to the polls, that means progressives where every you have got to vote. your vote really does matter why you ask? because the right-wing will fight his agenda at every turn. losing the popular vote gives them actually a shred of legitimacy, a leg to stand on and it's not going to matter to fox news that george bush lost the popular vote back in 2000 so bottom line even if you are in the deepest blue or deepest red, get to the polls! send in your ballots! your vote absolutely matters if you care about the president's ability to carry out his promises in his sec term. coming up bipartisan gets a much-needed shot in the arm. president obama visits new jersey with my new favorite governor, chris christie. it's time to start talking about the president's chances in florida on tuesday. we're ju

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